Early Rise

Putin’s Bold Move: Russia Seeks to Broker Peace in the Volatile Caucasus

During his trip to Baku as a state guest, Russian President Vladimir Putin offered to help bring about a peace deal between Azerbaijan and Armenia. This marks a change in the region’s alliances in the unstable Caucasus. This visit, which is a big deal in the politics of the area, shows how much more involved Russia is in the South Caucasus, where problems between Azerbaijan and Armenia have been going on for decades.

People think that Putin’s two-day trip to Baku is an effort to improve relations with Azerbaijan, which is an important country in the region and is becoming more so for Moscow. The visit comes at a time when the balance of power in the Caucasus is becoming less stable. Many regional and global forces are trying to gain power. Putin wants to make Russia the main player in resolving disputes in the area by presenting himself as a mediator.

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Shifting Alliances: Putin’s visit to Baku could reshape the future of the Caucasus as Russia offers to mediate peace.

Azerbaijan and Armenia have been at odds for a long time over the Nagorno-Karabakh region. This war has caused instability for many years. Since the early 1990s, the area has been ruled by ethnic Armenian troops backed by Armenia. The area is officially part of Azerbaijan. A six-week war finished with a ceasefire brokered by Russia in 2020, but tensions have stayed high and fights happen along the border from time to time.

During his trip, Putin met with Ilham Aliyev, the president of Azerbaijan, and talked about the possibility of a lasting peace deal between Armenia and Azerbaijan. Sources close to the talks say that Putin stressed how important it was for both sides to talk things out and find peaceful solutions to their problems. He said that Russia was ready to be a neutral mediator and offered to hold more talks between the two countries.

In this pool photograph distributed by Russian state agency Sputnik, Russia’s President Vladimir Putin (L) and Azerbaijan’s President Ilham Aliyev (R) attend the official dinner following their talks in Baku on August 19, 2024. (Photo by Mikhail TERESHCHENKO / POOL / AFP)

This deal is part of Russia’s larger plan to keep its power in the Caucasus by making itself an important partner for both Azerbaijan and Armenia. Moscow has always backed Armenia, but its recent moves to get closer to Azerbaijan show that it is taking a more balanced view, based on economic and geopolitical concerns. Russia wants to work with Azerbaijan because it has a lot of energy resources and is in a good spot. This is especially true as Russia tries to counter Western influence in the area.

But the plan also makes people wonder what Russia’s real goals are. Some people say that Putin’s offer to mediate could be a way for Russia to gain more power in the area while pretending to help make peace. Moscow could keep Azerbaijan and Armenia in its area of influence by keeping an eye on the peace process. This would stop either country from moving towards the West.

It’s also important that Putin’s visit happened at a time when the world is putting more pressure on Azerbaijan and Armenia to settle their differences peacefully. Both the US and the EU have called for a diplomatic end to the conflict, and there have been new efforts to bring the two sides closer to an agreement. With Putin involved, these efforts take on a new level, which could make things more difficult as different powers vie for a part in the peace process.

Peacemaker or Power Player? Putin’s bold move to mediate in the Azerbaijan-Armenia conflict takes center stage in Baku.

Putin’s offer to help Azerbaijan and Armenia reach a peace deal shows how Russia’s policy in the Caucasus is changing. Moscow wants to increase its power in a region where alliances are changing quickly by taking a lead role in ending the war. It’s still not clear if Putin’s actions will lead to lasting peace, but it is clear that Russia’s position in the Caucasus will continue to shape the future of the area.

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